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Friday, December 06, 2019

2019 Week 14 Picks

Week 14 Picks

New Orleans Saints (-2.5) vs San Francisco 49ers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) vs Indianapolis Colts

Cincinnati Bengals (+7) @ Cleveland Browns

Miami Dolphins (+5.5) @ New York Jets

Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) vs Carolina Panthers

Washington Tedskins (+12.5) @ Green Bay Packers

Denver Broncos (+9) @ Houston Texans

Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) @ Buffalo Bills

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) vs LA Chargers

Oakland Raiders (+3) vs Tennessee Titans

New England Patriots (-3) vs Kansas City Chiefs

Seattle Seahawks (PK) @ LA Rams

New York Giants (+9.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles


Last Week: 6-7-0

2019: 86-91-4 (.486)

ALL TIME: 1860-1419-118 (.565)


NCAA Top 25 Picks

(1) Ohio St. (-16.5) vs Wisconsin

(2) LSU (-7) vs (4) Georgia

(3) Clemson (-28.5) vs (23) Virginia

(5) Utah (-6.5) vs (13) Oregon

(7) Baylor (+9) vs (6) Oklahoma

(20) Cincinnati (+9.5) vs (17) Memphis

(19) Boise St. (-14) vs Hawaii

Louisiana-Lafayette (+6.5) vs (21) Appalachian St.


Last Week: 11-8-0

2019: 85-81-4 (.512)

ALL TIME: 1074-804-45 (.570)


Friday, November 29, 2019

2019 Week 13 Picks

Week 13 Picks

New York Jets (-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals

Miami Dolphins (+10) vs Philadelphia Eagles

New York Giants (+7) vs Green Bay Packers

Oakland Raiders (+10.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tennessee Titans (+2) @ Indianapolis Colts

Carolina Panthers (-10) vs Washington Tedskins

Cleveland Browns (-2) @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) vs San Francisco 49ers

Arizona Cardinals (+3) vs LA Rams

Denver Broncos (+3) vs LA Chargers

Houston Texans (+3.5) vs New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks (-3) vs Minnesota Vikings


Thanksgiving: 2-1-0

2019: 80-84-4 (.488)

ALL TIME: 1854-1412-118 (.565) 


NCAA Top 25 Picks

(1) Ohio St. (-9) @ (13) Michigan

(2) LSU (-17) vs Texas A&M

(3) Clemson (-27) @ South Carolina

Georgia Tech (+28) vs (4) Georgia

(13) Auburn (+3.5) vs (5) Alabama

(6) Utah (-28) vs Colorado

(21) Oklahoma St. (+13) vs (7) Oklahoma

(8) Minnesota (+2.5) vs (12) Wisconsin

Kansas (+14) vs (9) Baylor

Rutgers (+40) @ (10) Penn St.

(11) Florida (-17.5) vs Florida St.

(14) Oregon (-19.5) vs Oregon St.

Stanford (+16.5) vs (16) Notre Dame

Nebraska (+5.5) vs (17) Iowa

(18) Memphis (-10.5) vs (19) Cincinnati

(20) Boise St. (-14) @ Colorado St.

Kansas St. (+5) vs (23) Iowa St.

Virginia (+2.5) vs (24) Virginia Tech

Troy (+13.5) vs (25) Appalachian St.


Last Week: 9-12-1

2019: 74-73-4 (.503)

ALL TIME: 1063-796-45 (.570)


#BAGSMUNMAN

Thursday, November 28, 2019

2019 Thanksgiving Picks


Thanksgiving Picks

Chicago Bears (-2.5) @ Detroit Lions 

Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) vs Buffalo Bills

New Orleans Saints (-7) @ Atlanta Falcons 


Last Week: 6-7-0

2019: 78-83-4 (.485)

ALL TIME: 1852-1411-118 (.565)

Friday, November 22, 2019

2019 Week 12 Picks

Week 12 Picks

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Seattle Seahawks (+1) @ Philadelphia Eagles

New York Jets (+3) vs Oakland Raiders

New Orleans Saints (-9.5) vs Carolina Panthers

Denver Broncos (+4.5) @ Buffalo BIlls

Washington Tedskins (+3.5) vs Detroit Lions

Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Giants (+7) @ Chicago Bears

Cleveland Browns (-10) vs Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots (-6) vs Dallas Cowboys

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) @ Tennessee Titans

Green Bay Packers (+3) @ San Francisco 49ers

LA Rams (+3.5) vs Baltimore Ravens


Last Week: 6-7-0

2019: 72-76-4 (.487)

ALL TIME: 1846-1404-118 (.566)


NCAA Top 25 Picks

Arkansas (+43.5) @ (1) LSU

(2) Ohio St. (-18.5) vs (8) Penn St.

(4) Georgia (-13) vs Texas A&M

Western Carolina (+58.5) @ (5) Alabama

Arizona St. (+14.5) vs (6) Oregon

Arizona (+23) vs (7) Utah

TCU (+18.5) @ (9) Oklahoma

Northwestern (+16) vs (10) Minnesota

(12) Wisconsin (-24.5) vs Purdue

Indiana (+9.5) vs (13) Michigan

Texas (+5.5) @ (14) Baylor

Samford (+52.5) @ (15) Auburn

(16) Notre Dame (-20.5) vs Boston College

(17) Iowa (-15.5) vs Illinois

USF (+14.5) vs (18) Memphis

Temple (+10) @ (19) Cincinnati

(20) Boise St. (-9.5) @ Utah St.

West Virginia (+5.5) vs (21) Oklahoma St.

Kansas (+25) @ (22) Iowa St.

UCLA (+13.5) @ (23) USC

(24) Appalachian St. (-30) vs Texas St.

Navy (-3.5) vs (25) SMU


Last Week: 8-10-2

2019: 65-61-3 (.516)

ALL TIME: 1054-784-43 (.572)


Friday, November 15, 2019

2019 Week 11 Picks

Week 11 Picks

Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) vs Denver Broncos

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5) vs New Orleans Saints

Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Miami Dolphins (+7) vs Buffalo Bills

Atlanta Falcons (+4) @ Carolina Panthers

Washington Tedskins (-2.5) vs New York Jets

Houston Texans (+4) @ Baltimore Ravens

Dallas Cowboys (-6) @ Detroit Lions

New England Patriots (-3.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles

Arizona Cardinals (+10.5) @ San Francisco 49ers

Oakland Raiders (-11) vs Cincinnati Bengals

LA Rams (-6.5) vs Chicago Bears

LA Chargers (+4.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs


Last Week: 4-7-1

2019: 66-69-4 (.489)

ALL TIME: 1840-1397-118 (.566)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

Mississippi (+21) vs (1) LSU

Rutgers (+52.5) vs (2) Ohio St.

Wake Forest (+34) @ (3) Clemson

(12) Auburn (+3) vs (4) Georgia

Mississippi St. (+18.5) vs (5) Alabama

Arizona (+27.5) @ (6) Oregon

UCLA (+21.5) @ (7) Utah

(20) Iowa (-3) vs (8) Minnesota

Indiana (+14.5) @ (9) Penn St.

(13) Baylor (+10.5) vs (10) Oklahoma

Missouri (+7) vs (11) Florida

Nebraska (+14) vs (14) Wisconsin

Michigan St. (+14) @ (15) Michigan

(16) Notre Dame (-7) vs (23) Navy

USF (+14) vs (17) Cincinnati

Houston (+10.5) vs (18) Memphis

Iowa St. (-7) vs (19) Texas

(21) Boise St. (-27) vs New Mexico

(22) Oklahoma St. (-17) vs Kansas

West Virginia (+15) @ (24) Kansas St.

Georgia St. (+14.5) vs (25) Appalachian St.


Last Week: 10-5-0

2019: 57-51-1 (.523)

ALL TIME: 1046-774-41 (.573)


Friday, November 08, 2019

2019 Week 10 Picks

Week 10 Picks

Cleveland Browns (-3) vs Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals (+10) vs Baltimore Ravens

Atlanta Falcons (+13.5) @ New Orleans Saints

New York Giants (-2.5) @ New York Jets

Tennessee Titans (+6) vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) vs Arizona Cardinals

Chicago Bears (-2.5) vs Detroit Lions

Indianapolis Colts (-11) vs Miami Dolphins

 LA Rams (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) @ Green Bay Packers

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Minnesota Vikings

San Francisco 49ers (-6) vs Seattle Seahawks


Last Week: 6-6-1

2019: 62-62-3 (.500)

ALL TIME: 1836-1390-117 (.567)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

Maryland (+43.5) @ (1) Ohio St.

(2) LSU (+6) @ (3) Alabama

(4) Penn St. (-6.5) @ (17) Minnesota

(5) Clemson (-31.5) @ NC State

Missouri (+16.5) @ (6) Georgia

(9) Oklahoma (-13.5) vs Iowa St.

(10) Florida (-26.5) vs Vanderbilt

TCU (+2.5) vs (12) Baylor

(18) Iowa (+9.5) @ (13) Wisconsin

(15) Notre Dame (-7) @ Duke

Texas (-7) vs (16) Kansas St.

Virginia Tech (+3) vs (19) Wake Forest

(20) Cincinnati (-34.5) vs UCONN

Wyoming (+13.5) @ (22) Boise St.

East Carolina (+21.5) @ (25) SMU


Last Week: 6-6-0

2019: 47-46-1 (.505)

ALL TIME: 1036-769-41 (.572)


#BAGSMUNMAN

Friday, November 01, 2019

2019 Week 9 Picks

RIP Deadspin
Week 9 Picks

Cleveland Browns (-3.5) @ Denver Broncos

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5) vs Houston Texans

Carolina Panthers (-3) vs Tennessee Titans

Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) vs Chicago Bears

Minnesota Vikings (+2) @ Kansas City Chiefs

Washington Tedskins (+9.5) @ Buffalo Bills

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1) vs Indianapolis Colts

New York Jets (-3) @ Miami Dolphins

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6) @ Seattle Seahawks

Oakland Raiders (-2.5) vs Detroit Lions

LA Chargers (+3.5) vs Green Bay Packers

Baltimore Ravens (+3) vs New England Patriots

New York Giants (+7) vs Dallas Cowboys


Last Week: 7-6-1

2019: 56-56-2 (.500)

ALL TIME: 1830-1385-116 (.567)

#neverforget
NCAA Top 25 Picks

Wofford (+46.5) @ (4) Clemson

(8) Georgia (-6.5) vs (6) Florida

USC (+4.5) vs (7) Oregon

Washington (+3) vs (9) Utah

Mississippi (+19) @ (11) Auburn

Maryland (+21) vs (14) Michigan

(24) Memphis (-5.5) vs (15) SMU

(16) Notre Dame (-17) vs Virginia Tech

East Carolina (+23.5) vs (17) Cincinnati

San Jose St. (+17.5) vs (21) Boise St.

Kansas (+5.5) vs (22) Kansas St.

NC State (+7.5) @ (23) Wake Forest


Last Week: 5-2-0

2019: 41-40-1 (.506)

ALL TIME: 1030-763-41 (.573)


Friday, October 25, 2019

2019 Week 8 Picks

Week 8 Picks

Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5) @ Buffalo Bills

New Orleans Saints (-10) vs Arizona Cardinals

New York Giants (+6.5) @ Detroit Lions

Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5) vs New York Jets

Seattle Seahawks (-7) @ Atlanta Falcons

LA Rams (-11.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals

LA Chargers (+4) @ Chicago Bears

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) @ Tennessee Titans

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) @ San Francisco 49ers

New England Patriots (-10.5) vs Cleveland Browns

Indianapolis Colts (-5) vs Denver Broncos

Houston Texans (-6) vs Oakland Raiders

Kansas City Chiefs (+4) vs Green Bay Packers

Pittsburgh Steelers (-14) vs Miami Dolphins


Last Week: 7-6-0

2019: 49-50-1 (.495)

ALL TIME: 1823-1379-115 (.567)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

(2) LSU (-10.5) vs (9) Auburn

(3) Ohio St. (-14.5) vs (13) Wisconsin

Kansas St. (+23.5) vs (5) Oklahoma

(19) Michigan (+1) vs (8) Notre Dame

(11) Oregon (-13.5) vs Washington St.

 TCU (+1) vs (15) Texas

UCLA (+3.5) vs (24) Arizona St.


Last Week: 5-5-0

2019: 36-38-1 (.487)

ALL TIME: 1025-761-41 (.572)


#BAGSMUNMAN

Friday, October 18, 2019

2019 Week 7 Picks

Week 7 Picks

Miami Dolphins (+17) @ Buffalo Bills

Atlanta Falcons (+3) vs LA Rams

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) vs Oakland Raiders

Washington Tedskins (+10) vs San Francisco 49ers

Detroit Lions (+2.5) vs Minnesota Vikings

Indianapolis Colts (-1) vs Houston Texans

New York Giants (-3) vs Arizona Cardinals

Cincinnati Bengals (+4) vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans (-2.5) vs LA Chargers

New Orleans Saints (+4) @ Chicago Bears

Baltimore Ravens (+3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ Dallas Cowboys

New York Jets (+10) vs New England Patriots


Last Week: 8-5-0

2019: 42-44-1 (.489)

ALL TIME: 1816-1373-115 (.567)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

Mississippi St. (+18) vs (2) LSU

 (3) Clemson (-24) @ Louisville

(5) Oklahoma (-33) vs West Virginia

Illinois (+31) vs (6) Wisconsin

 (7) Penn St. (-9) vs (16) Michigan

South Carolina (+5.5) vs (9) Florida St.

(10) Georgia (-25.5) vs Kentucky

(25) Washington (+3) vs (12) Oregon

(13) Utah (-13.5) vs Arizona St.

Kansas (+23.5) @ (15) Texas


Last Week: 7-6-0

2019: 31-33-1 (.485)

ALL TIME: 1020-756-41 (.573)


Friday, October 11, 2019

2019 Week 6 Picks

Week 6 Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars (-1) vs New Orleans Saints

Minnesota Vikings (-3) vs Philadelphia Eagles

Carolina Panthers (-2) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kansas City Chiefs (-4) vs Houston Texans

Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) @ Cleveland Browns

Baltimore Ravens (-11) vs Cincinnati Bengals

Miami Dolphins (+3.5) vs Washington Tedskins

LA Rams (-3) vs San Francisco 49ers

Arizona Cardinals (+2.5) vs Atlanta Falcons

Denver Broncos (-1.5) vs Tennessee Titans

New York Jets (+7) vs Dallas Cowboys

LA Chargers (-7) vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Detroit Lions (+4) @ Green Bay Packers


Last Week: 9-5-0

2019: 34-39-1 (.466)

ALL TIME: 1808-1368-115 (.567)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

(24) Texas A&M (+17) vs (1) Alabama

South Carolina (+24) @ (3) Georgia

(5) LSU (-13.5) vs (7) Florida

(6) Oklahoma (-10.5) vs (11) Texas

Michigan St. (+10.5) @ (8) Wisconsin

USC (+10.5) @ (9) Notre Dame

(17) Iowa (+3.5) vs (10) Penn St.

(13) Oregon (-21) vs Colorado

Hawaii (+12.5) @ (14) Boise St.

(16) Michigan (-22.5) @ Illinois

Louisville (+6.5) @ (19) Wake Forest

Miami (-2) vs (20) Virginia

Temple (+5.5) vs (23) Memphis


Last Week: 4-3-0

2019: 24-27-1 (.471)

ALL TIME: 1013-750-41 (.573)


Friday, October 04, 2019

2019 Week 5 Picks

Week 5 Picks

Washington Tedskins (+15.5) vs New England Patriots

Tennessee Titans (-3) vs Buffalo Bills

Houston Texans (-4) vs Atlanta Falcons

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5) vs Baltimore Ravens

Carolina Panthers (-3.5) vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Cincinnati Bengals

New Orleans Saints (-3) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oakland Raiders (+5) vs Chicago Bears

Philadelphia Eagles (-13.5) vs New York Jets

New York Giants (+5) vs Minnesota Vikings

Denver Broncos (+6.5) @ LA Chargers

Dallas Cowboys (-3) vs Green Bay Packers

Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5) vs Indianapolis Colts

San Francisco 49ers (-4) vs Cleveland Browns


Last Week: 6-8-0

2019: 25-34-1 (.425)

ALL TIME: 1799-1363-115 (.567)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

(4) Ohio St. (-20) vs (25) Michigan St.

(10) Florida (+2.5) vs (7) Auburn

West Virginia (+10.5) vs (11) Texas

(14) Iowa (+3.5) @ (19) Michigan

Stanford (+16) vs (15) Washington

(18) UCF (-3.5) @ Cincinnati

Texas Tech (+10) vs (21) Oklahoma St.


Last Week: 4-7-0

2019: 20-24-1 (.456)

ALL TIME: 1009-747-41 (.573)


Friday, September 27, 2019

2019 Week 4 Picks

Week 4 Picks

New England Patriots (-7) @ Buffalo Bills

Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) @ Detroit Lions

Baltimore Ravens (-7) vs Cleveland Browns

Oakland Raiders (+7) @ Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans (-4) vs Carolina Panthers

Tennessee Titans (+4) @ Atlanta Falcons

New York Giants (-3) vs Washington Tedskins

Miami Dolphins (+15.5) vs LA Chargers

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) @ Chicago Bears

LA Rams (-9.5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Arizona Cardinals (+5) vs Seattle Seahawks

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) @ Denver Broncos

New Orleans Saints (+2.5) vs Dallas Cowboys

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals


Last Week: 6-10-0

2019: 19-26-1

ALL TIME: 1793-1355-115

NCAA Top 25 Picks

(2) Alabama (-37) vs Mississippi

Nebraska (+17) vs (5) Ohio St.

(6) Oklahoma (-27) vs Texas Tech

Mississippi St. (+10.5) @ (7) Auburn

(18) Virginia (+12.5) @ (10) Notre Dame

Maryland (+7) vs (12) Penn St.

Middle Tennessee St. (+23.5) @ (15) Iowa

Arizona St. (+5) @ (15) California

(17) Washington (-10) vs (21) USC

Arkansas (+23) vs (23) Texas A&M

 (24) Kansas St. (+4) @ Oklahoma St.


Last Week: 5-5-0

2019: 16-17-1 (.485)

ALL TIME: 1005-740-41 (.574)


Friday, September 20, 2019

2019 Week 3 Picks

Week 3 Picks

New England Patriots (-21.5) vs New York Jets

Minnesota Vikings (-9) vs Oakland Raiders

Green Bay Packers (-7.5) vs Denver Broncos

Baltimore Ravens (+6) @ Kansas City Chiefs

Indianapolis Colts (-1) vs Atlanta Falcons

Detroit Lions (+6) @ Philadelphia Eagles

Miami Dolphins (+22.5) @ Dallas Cowboys

Buffalo Bills (-6) vs Cincinnati Bengals

LA Chargers (-3) vs Houston Texans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) vs New York Giants

Arizona Cardinals (-2) vs Carolina Panthers

San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Seattle Seahawks (-4) vs New Orleans Saints

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) vs LA Rams

Washington Tedskins (+5) vs Chicago Bears


Last Week: 7-7-1

2019: 13-16-1 (.450)

ALL TIME: 1787-1345-115 (.568)


NCAA Top 25 Picks

(3) Georgia (-14.5) vs (7) Notre Dame

(8) Auburn (+3.5) @ (17) Texas A&M

(10) Utah (-3.5) @ USC

(11) Wisconsin (-3.5) vs (13) Michigan

Pittsburgh (+11) vs (15) UCF

Oklahoma St. (+6.5) @ (12) Texas

(18) Washington St. (-18.5) vs UCLA

Air Force (+7) @ (20) Boise St.

BYU (+6.5) vs (22) Washington

(23) California (+3) @ Mississippi


Last Week: 3-4-1

2019: 11-12-1 (.479)

ALL TIME: 1000-735-41 (.575)


Friday, September 13, 2019

2019 Week 2 Picks

Week 2 Picks

Miami Dolphins (+19.5) vs New England Patriots

Arizona Cardinals (+13) @ Baltimore Ravens

Detroit Lions (+2.5) vs LA Chargers

Indianapolis Colts (+3) @ Tennessee Titans

Cincinnati Bengals (-1) vs San Francisco 49ers

Jacksonville Jaguars (+9) @ Houston Texans

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) vs Minnesota Vikings

Washington Tedskins (+6) vs Dallas Cowboys

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) vs Seattle Seahawks

New York Giants (+2) vs Buffalo Bills

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) @ Oakland Raiders

LA Rams (-2) vs New Orleans Saints

Chicago Bears (-2) @ Denver Broncos

Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) @ Atlanta Falcons

New York Jets (+6.5) vs Cleveland Browns


Last Week: 6-9-0

ALL TIME: 1780-1338-114 (.571)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

Syracuse (+28) vs (1) Clemson

Indiana (+14.5) vs (6) Ohio St.

Rice (+32) vs (12) Texas

Pittsburgh (+17.5) @ (13) Penn St.

(18) Michigan St. (-14) vs Arizona St.

Houston (+9.5) vs (20) Washington St.

Temple (+7.5) vs (21) Maryland

(25) Virginia (-7) vs Florida St.


Last Week: 8-8-0

ALL TIME: 997-731-41 (.577)


Friday, September 06, 2019

2019 Week 1 Picks

Week 1 Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills (+3) @ New York Jets

Miami Dolphins (+6.5) vs Baltimore Ravens

 LA Rams (-1.5) @ Carolina Panthers

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) vs Atlanta Falcons

Cleveland Browns (-5.5) vs Tennessee Titans

Washington Tedskins (+10) @ Philadelphia Eagles

New York Giants (+7) @ Dallas Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks (-9.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals

Indianapolis Colts (+6.5) @ LA Chargers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) vs San Francisco 49ers

Detroit Lions (-2) @ Arizona Cardinals

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5) @ New England Patriots

New Orleans Saints (-7) vs Houston Texans

Oakland Raiders (+3) vs Denver Broncos


2018-2019: 135-114-10 (.542)

ALL TIME: 1774-1329-114 (.572)

NCAA Top 25 Picks

(12) Texas A&M (+17.5) @ (1) Clemson

New Mexico St. (+55.5) @ (2) Alabama

Murray St. (+48.5) @ (3) Georgia

(9) Texas (+6.5) vs (9) LSU

(7) Michigan (-22) vs Army

(10) Auburn (-17.5) vs Tulane

UT Martin (+44.5) @ (11) Florida

Northern Illinois (+22) @ (13) Utah

California (+14) @ (14) Washington

Nevada (+24.5) @ (16) Oregon

Central Michigan (+35) @ (17) Wisconsin

Western Michigan (+16) @ (19) Michigan St.

(21) Syracuse (+1.5) @ Maryland

(23) Stanford (+3) @ USC

Marshall (+12.5) @ (24) Boise St.

Colorado (+4) vs (25) Nebraska


2018-2019: 96-79-2 (.549)

ALL TIME: 989-723-41 (.578)


Wednesday, March 20, 2019

2019 NCAA Tournament Preview


There are really only two things I look at before going about filling out my NCAA Tournament brackets. Well, 3 things. If you count my brain. Which is crammed full of all sorts of college basketball whatnot from both this year and years past. But since I won't be loaning my brain out, I recommend you consult these 2 other tools before getting down to business.

1. Ken Pomeroy Ratings: Ken's "tempo free" analytical ratings are notorious both for identifying tournament teams that may have been "improperly valued" by the selection committee, and for pointing out which teams are obviously the best equipped to ultimately cut down the nets.

Example: Ken has Louisville @ #17, and Wofford @ #19. Yet both were given #7 seeds in the Tournament. Meaning the committee views them more as the 25th-28th best teams in the Tournament. Similarly, St. Mary's finds themselves as #31 on KenPom, yet were seeded #11, in the 41-44 range.  Finding "discrepancies" like that (AKA "value") can often help point you in the right direction in terms of which teams may overachieve...

AND

2. First Round Spreads: Target "upsets" in first round games with close spreads. Some 10+ point underdog will probably win outright. But attempting to identify that team is a futile enterprise. Stick to games with closer spreads, and try to identify any irregularities.

Example: #12 Oregon was a 2 point favorite against #5 Wisconsin, in a game that's seen wild swings in the spread (Oregon is now (+2)). The 3 other #5 seeds are 4, 5, and 6 point favorites, respectively. Not a huge discrepancy, necessarily. But value doesn't always come in massive helpings...

Remember. All 7/10 and 3/14 games aren't created equal. So if the spread looks closer than the seeding should suggest, then that game could very well present some solid value in terms of picking an upset...

OK, so. You've used KenPom to identify value, and you've scouted first round games for suspicious looking spreads. Nice! Now, all that's left, is to avoid picking Duke to win, and you should be all set!

I say that half jokingly, of course. Duke could certainly win. In which case you would most definitely need them as your champion in order for you too to cut down the nets. And if you're entering lots of different brackets (weeeeeee!), it's certainly OK to throw the blue Devils in there, somewhere. Just know that, when you do pick Duke, you'll also need a relatively clean bracket heading into the title game in order to expect a big payday. Barring that, you'll likely be devoured by the myriad of other Duke entries in your pool, who had you pipped by 1 or 2 picks like 3 weeks earlier. And if that's your poison, by all means. But I'm all about value. And with Duke clearly being the champion of choice among the masses (nearly 50% of brackets are projected to have them as the winner), that value lies pretty much anywhere other than Durham, North Carolina...

And that philosophy doesn't just apply to Duke. More often than not, you want to fade ( or avoid) what you feel will be the more popular selections. Not because they're more likely to be the right selections. But because the payoff will be more than high enough when they are right, to make up for all of the times when the chalk and the public prevail. Again, it's all about value. And there's no value in riding with all of the most popular squads. No matter what that "bracket expert", whose only success came when all 4 #1 seeds made the Final Four in 2008, will try to tell you...

Sorry, I just couldn't resist that final shot. Had to do it. And now Duke's gonna win, just to spite me. Oh well...

OK. Now, without further dudes, here's what I got when I put my aforementioned strategy into place. Enjoy! And good luck!


SOUTH

Sleepers: (7) Cincinnati; (9) Oklahoma; (11) St. Mary's; (12) Oregon; (13) UC Irvine

Winner: (1) Virginia


WEST

Sleepers: (8) Syracuse; (10) Florida; (12) Murray St.

Winner: (1) Gonzaga


EAST

Sleepers: (7) Louisville; (11) Belmont; (14) Yale

Winner: (2) Michigan St.


MIDWEST

Sleepers: (6) Iowa St.;  (7) Wofford; (13) Northeastern

Winner: (1) North Carolina


FINAL FOUR

(2) Michigan St. vs (1) Gonzaga

(1) Virginia vs (1) North Carolina


2019 NATIONAL CHAMPION

Virginia Cavaliers


Friday, March 15, 2019

The Calm Before the Whatnot...



Full NCAA Tournament primer coming on Wednesday. Be there!


Friday, March 08, 2019

College Hoops Top 16 (3/8/19)

College Hoops Top 16

1. Virginia (27-2) 2

2. Gonzaga (29-2) 1

3. Michigan (26-4) 6

4. North Carolina (25-5) 7

5. Duke (26-4) 5

6. Michigan St. (24-6) 3

7. Kentucky (25-5) 4

8. Purdue (22-8) 8

9. Tennessee (27-3) 10

10. Texas Tech (25-5) 9

11. Houston (28-2) 11

12. Florida St. (24-6) 16

13. Auburn (21-9) 14

14. Wofford (26-4) NR

15. Maryland (21-9) 13

16. Wisconsin (21-9) NR


just missed: Kansas; LSU; Nevada; Virginia Tech

dropped: (12) Nevada; (15) Kansas

What to Watch This Week

3/8
Bowling Green @ Buffalo (6p ESPNU)
Minnesota @ Maryland (7p FS1)

3/9
Tennessee @ Auburn (12p ESPN)
Villanova @ Seton Hall (12p FOX)
Florida @ Kentucky (2p CBS)
Texas Tech @ Iowa St (2p ESPNN)
Baylor @ Kansas (2p ESPN)
Georgetown @ Marquette (230p FOX)
Louisville @ Virginia (4p ESPN)
UCF @ Temple (4p ESPN2)
Duke @ UNC (6p ESPN)
Oklahoma @ Kansas St. (6p ESPN2)
Michigan @ Michigan St. (8p ESPN)
San Diego St @ Nevada (1030p CBSSN)

3/10
Houston @ Cincinnati (12p TBD)
Wisconsin @ Ohio St. (430p TBD)




Friday, March 01, 2019

College Hoops Top 16 (3/1/19)

College Hoops Top 16

1. Gonzaga (28-2) 1

2. Virginia (25-2) 2

3. Michigan St. (23-5) 3

4. Kentucky (24-4) 4

5. Duke (24-4) 5

6. Michigan (25-4) 6

7. North Carolina (23-5) 7

8. Purdue (21-7) 9

9. Texas Tech (25-5) 10

10. Tennessee (25-3) 8

11. Houston (27-1) 13

12. Nevada (26-2) 12

13. Maryland (21-8) 11

14. Auburn (19-9) 14

15. Kansas (21-7) NR

16 Florida St. (22-6) NR


just missed: Wisconsin; Iowa St.; Virginia Tech; Buffalo

dropped: (15) Wisconsin; (16) Iowa St.


What to Watch This Week

3/1
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) (8p CBSSN)

3/2
Michigan St. @ Indiana (12p FOX)
LSU @ Alabama (12p ESPN)
NC St. @ FSU (12p ESPN2)
Kentucky @ Tennessee (2p CBS)
Ohio St. @ Purdue (2p ESPN)
UCF @ Houston (4p ESPN)
Texas Tech @ TCU (4p ESPN2)
UNC @ Clemson (6p ESPN)
Baylor @ Kansas St. (8p ESPN2)
Gonzaga @ St. Mary's (10p ESPN)

3/3
Michigan @ Maryland (345p CBS)

3/4
Virginia @ Syracuse (7p ESPN)
Texas @ Texas Tech (9p ESPN)
Kansas St. @ TCU (9p ESPN2)

3/5
Virginia Tech @ Florida St. (7p ESPNU)
Purdue @ Minnesota (8p BTN)
Kentucky @ Mississippi (9p ESPN)
Mississippi St. @ Tennessee (9p SECN)
Kansas @ Oklahoma (9p ESPN2)

3/6
Marquette @ Seton Hall (630p FS1)
LSU @ Florida (7p ESPN2)
Oregon St. @ Washington (9p PAC12)

3/7
Iowa @ Wisconsin (7p)
Cincinnati @ UCF (7p)
SMU @ Houston (9p ESPN)


Friday, February 22, 2019

College Hoops Top 16 (2/22/19)

College Hoops Top 16

1. Gonzaga (26-2) 2

2. Virginia (23-2) 3

3. Michigan St. (22-5) 4

4. Kentucky (22-4) 5

5. Duke (23-3) 1

6. Michigan (24-3) 7

7. North Carolina (21-5) 11

8. Tennessee (24-2) 6

9. Purdue (19-7) 10

10. Texas Tech (21-5) 14

11. Maryland (20-7) 12

12. Nevada (24-2) 8

13. Houston (25-1) 13

14.  Auburn (18-8) NR

15. Wisconsin (18-8) NR

16. Iowa St. (19-7) 10


just missed: Kansas; Florida St.; Villanova; Louisville; Marquette

dropped: (9) Villanova; (16) Louisville

What to Watch This Week

2/22
Kent St. @ Buffalo (7p ESPN2)
Indiana @ Iowa (915p FS1)

2/23
Virginia @ Louisville (12p ACCN)
Tennesse @ LSU (12p ESPN)
Marquette @ PC (12p FOX)
Auburn @ Kentucky (130p CBS)
Iowa St. @ TCU (2p ESPN2)
Ohio St. @ Maryland (2p ESPN)
Florida St. @ UNC (345p CBS)
Duke @ Syracuse (6p ESPN)
Kansas @ Texas Tech (8p ESPN)
Fresno St. @ Nevada (8p CBSSN)

2/24
Michigan St. @ Michigan (345p CBS)

2/25
Oklahoma @ Iowa St. (8p ESPN2)
Kansas St. @ Kansas (9p ESPN)

2/26
Duke @ Virginia Tech (7p ESPN)
Iowa @ Ohio St. (7p BTN)
Syracuse @ UNC
Wisconcin @ Indiana (9p ESPN)

2/27
Tennessee @ Mississippi (7p SECN)
Marquette @ Villanova (9p FS1)

2/28
Nebraska @ Michigan (7p ESPN)


Friday, February 15, 2019

College Hoops Top 16 (2/15/19)

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College Hoops Top 16

1. Duke (22-2) 3

2. Gonzaga (23-2) 2

3. Virginia (21-2) 1

4. Michigan St. (20-5) 8

5. Kentucky (20-4) 6

6. Tennessee (23-1) 4

7. Michigan (22-3) 7

8. Nevada (23-1) 9

9. Villanova (20-5) 11

10. Purdue (17-7) 12

11. North Carolina (19-5) 5

12. Maryland (19-6) NR

13. Houston (24-1) 15

14. Texas Tech (20-5) NR

15. Iowa St. (18-6) 10

16. Louisville (17-8) 13


just missed: Auburn; Kansas; Wisconsin; Virginia Tech

dropped: (14) Wisconsin; (16) Virginia Tech

What to Watch This Week

2/15
Buffalo @ Toledo (7p ESPNU)

2/16
Maryland @ Michigan (12p FOX)
Clemson @ Louisville (12p ESPN)
Baylor @ Texas Tech (2p ESPN)
Iowa St. @ Kansas St. (4p ESPN2)
Tennessee @ Kentucky (8p ESPN)

2/17
Ohio St. @ Michigan St. (1p CBS)
Villanova @ St. John's (5p FS1)

2/18
Virginia @ Virginia Tech (7p ESPN)
Kansas St. @ West Virginia (9p ESPN)

2/19
Purdue @ Indiana (7p ESPN2)
Maryland @ Iowa (8p BTN)
Florida St. @ Clemson (9p ESPNU)
Baylor @ Iowa St. 99p ESPN2)

2/20
Villanova @ Georgetown (630p FS1)
Louisville @ Syracuse (7p ESPN)
UNC @ Duke (9p ESPN)
Butler @ Marquette (9p CBSSN)
Nevada @ San Diego St. (11p CBSSN)

2/21
Michigan @ Minnesota (7p ESPN)


Friday, February 08, 2019

College Hoops Top 16 (2/8/19)

College Hoops Top 16

1. Virginia (20-1) 1

2. Gonzaga (22-2) 2

3. Duke (20-2) 3

4. Tennessee (21-1) 5

5. North Carolina (18-4) 6

6. Kentucky (19-3) 8

7. Michigan (21-2) 4

8. Michigan St. (18-5) 7

9. Nevada (22-1) 9

10. Iowa St. (18-5) 11

11. Villanova (19-4) 13

12. Purdue (16-6) 12

13. Louisville (17-6) 16

14. Wisconsin (17-6) 14

15. Houston (22-1) 15

16. Virginia Tech (18-4) 10


just missed: Maryland; Auburn; Texas Tech; Kansas

dropped: none


What to Watch This Week

2/8
Princeton @ Yale (7p ESPN+)
Kent St. @ Akron (9p ESPNU)

2/9
Wisconsin @ Michigan (12p FOX)
Virginia Tech @ Clemson (12p ESPN2)
Kentucky @ Mississippi St. (1p CBS)
BC @ Syracuse (2p ACCN)
Minnesota @ Michigan St. (2p ESPN)
TCU @ Iowa St. (2p ESPNU)
Auburn @ LSU (2p ESPN2)
Villanova @ Marquette (230p FOX)
Louisville @ Florida St. (4p ESPN2)
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma (4p ESPNU)
Duke @ Virginia (6p ESPN)

2/10
Cincinnati @ Houston (4p ESPN)

2/11
Virginia @ UNC (7p ESPN)
Kansas @ TCU (9p ESPN)

2/12
Purdue @ Maryland (630p BTN)
LSU @ Kentucky (7p ESPN)
Michigan St. @ Wisconsin (7p ESPN2)
Duke @ Louisville (9p ESPN)

2/13
PC @ Villanova (630p FS1)
Syracuse @ NC State

2/14
Houston @ UCONN
Gonzaga @ Loyola-Marymount (11p ESPN2)


Friday, February 01, 2019

Super Bowl Picks + College Hoops Top 16 (2/1/19)

Super Bowl Picks

New England Patriots (-2.5) vs LA Rams + UNDER 56.5


Conference Championships: 3-1-0

2018-2019: 133-114-10 (.537)

ALL TIME: 1772-1329-114 (.569)

College Hoops Top 16

1. Virginia (19-1) 1

2. Gonzaga (20-2) 2

3. Duke (18-2) 3

4. Michigan (20-1) 4

5. Tennessee (19-1) 6

6. North Carolina (16-4) 7

7. Michigan St. (18-3) 5

8. Kentucky (17-3) 8

9. Nevada (20-1) 9

10. Virginia Tech (17-3) 11

11. Iowa St. (16-5) 12

12. Purdue (15-6) 16

13. Villanova (17-4) 14

14. Wisconsin (15-6) NR

15. Houston (21-1) 10

16. Louisville (16-5) NR


just missed: Texas Tech; LSU; Kansas; Auburn; Maryland

dropped: (13) Kansas; (15) TCU

What To Watch This Week

2/1
Michigan @ Iowa (7p FS1)
Buffalo @ Bowling Green (8p CBSS)
Maryland @ Wisconsin (9p FS1)

2/2
St. John's @ Duke (12p ESPN)
Virginia Tech @ NC State (12p ACCN)
UNC @ Louisville (2p ESPN)
Texas @ Iowa St. (2p ESPN2)
Mississippi St. @ Mississippi (330p SECN)
Kentucky @ Florida (4p ESPN)
Texas Tech @ Kansas (4p CBS)
Indiana @ Michigan St. (6p ESPN)
Arkansas @ LSU (6p SECN)

2/3
Minnesota @ Purdue (12p BTN)
Georgetown @ Villanova (12p FS1)

2/4
Louisville @ Virginia Tech (7p ESPN)
Iowa St. @ Oklahoma (9p ESPN2)
West Virginia @ Texas Tech (9p ESPN)

2/5
Boston College @ Duke (7p ESPN)
St. John's @ Marquette (8p FS1)
NC State @ UNC (8p ACCN)
Florida St. @ Syracuse (8p ACCN/ESPN3)
Kansas @ Kansas St. (9p ESPN)

2/6
Maryland @ Nebraska (7p BTN)
Creighton @ Villanova (8p CBSS)
LSU @ Mississippi St. (9p ESPN2)
Wisconsin @ Minnesota (9p BTN)

2/7
Houston @ UCF (7p CBSS)
San Francisco @ Gonzaga (9p ROOT)