Pages

Friday, September 16, 2011

Week 2 NFL Picks: Don't Hate the Tweeter..


You know what's awesome?  Twitter.  And you know why?  Because it creates stories where there weren't any stories before.  And for someone like yours truly, the more stories, the better.  Problem is, is that with so many stories being floated around on Twitter, and so many athletes now using the medium to speak their minds at an ever increasing rate, it gets tougher to tell what's worthy of reporting and reacting to, and what's not...

That, my friends, is where Tedy Bruschi ran into some trouble, this week.  He took a tweet from Chad Ochocinco, talking about how in awe he was after his first regular season glimpse of the Patriots' offense, and Tedy jumped all over him for being unprepared, too talkative, and  for not handling his business in the "Patriot Way".  Well, Tedy, I hate to break it yo ya, but I'm pretty sure the problem with this whole issue is completely on your end.  Sure, I'll admit that Chad hasn't exactly been the player a lot of people expected when he was first signed, but the comment he made on Twitter by no means warranted the shit storm that Bruschi single-handedly decided to bring down on him.  And to be honest, I have to think a lot of Tedy's anger either comes from A) the fact that he's jealous he can no longer play, and can't stand seeing a Patriot act any other way than the way he acted when he played there OR B) He's got issues going on in his personal life that just led him to find someone he could easily put down to make himself feel better.  I tend to believe it's more "A" than anything else, but whatever the reason, I'm of the opinion that Bruschi's intent was a little less than genuine when he ultimately decided he wanted to go down this road...

Hey, Chad's an outspoken and entertainment-minded guy.  The Patriots knew this when they WENT OUT AND ACQUIRED him.  It's just who he is.  And while I'm sure Belichick and friends expected him to reign in his act somewhat once he arrived in Foxboro, I was never under the impression that muzzling him is what they had in mind.  And that's what Tedy seems to want.  He wants Chad to shut up, learn the playbook, and start doing things the "Patriot Way".  Me?  I just want the guy to help the team win the Super Bowl without serving as a distraction.  And as long as former Patriots stop unnecessarily throwing him onto the front pages, I think that's exactly what he'll be able to do.  Obviously not to the extent a lot of people had hoped (I for one only predicted about 40 catches), but probably more than he was able to deliver in his week 1 debut...
#throwmethebean

I'm not saying "get off his back", I'm just saying that if you're gonna get on him for something, make sure it's worth while.  Otherwise, as is usually the case, it's the messenger that will end up looking like the fool.  And in this instance, Tedy Bruschi, as much as it pains me to say it, that messenger is you, and your reaction was just flat out foolish...

But that's why Twitter is so great.  There wasn't a story, Twitter created one, and I was able to use that fabricated non-event as a nice little lead in to this week's post.  It's like the Interweb is some sort of ecosystem, and I'm the vulture left to clean up the scraps from the vicious predators above me on the food chain.  And thankfully for me, these predators aren't nearly as proficient as their animal kingdom counterparts, leaving me all the more to pick and prod at as I try to for my opinion...

Speaking of picking and prodding, the reason I'm sure you've all ventured here, this lovely Friday, is for my latest batch of picks.  You want money, you wanna look smart, you wanna be the lion on this football food chain, and I'm here to help.  So hakuna matata, my friends.  IT means "no worries", and you can drop yours at the door as you take a look at the picks that are sure to make you the pride of...well, of your "pride", if I'm really gonna go all the way with that metaphor.  An seeing as I already quoted the Lion King, I think that's exactly what I have to do...

Enjoy, my friends.  Now let's get rich...

                        
Week 2 Picks
MJD in week 1, now the Titans need to stop Ray Rice.  Good luck with that...
Baltimore Ravens (-6) @ Tennessee Titans

The Ravens were extremely impressive in their dismantling of the Steelers in week 1, and the Titans lost to the Jaguars.  I know simple logic like that can usually lead to disaster when it comes to picking games against the spread, but I'd be lying to you if I didn't say that's about all the though I put into this one.  I understand that Baltimore won @ home, Tennessee lost on the road, and that all that stuff matters, it's just that I see the Ravens as one of the best teams in the league.  And just like the Patriots last week, I'm of the opinion that "elite" teams beat average teams by more than 7 on the road.  It worked in that instance, and I think it's gonna work for me again here.  Hence why, not only am I taking this game, but I'm putting it front and center as one of my best picks of the week...

That's how you can read these picks, by the way.  They're not completely listed like this, but more or less, the higher up on the list, the more confidence I have...


New England Patriots (-6.5) vs San Diego Chargers + OVER 53

...which is going to make Patriots' fans very happy when they see that I'm really high on New England handling San Diego...

We all know the Chargers.  All sorts of talent, but they can never seen to put it together for any real length of time.  Just an inconsistent franchise, that always seems to make the crucial error to cost them the game.  We also know they like to score in bunches, and move up and down the field at a break neck pace.  And that's why I like the Patriots to cover this number.  San Diego wants to go score for score?  OK.  Along with Green Bay and New Orleans, there's no team better at doing that than the New England Patriots.  Combine that with their penchant for making game changing mistakes, and the fact that they're on the road, and it's all the more reason to take the Patriots...

What? You'd do him...
And I know, banking on team's to make mistakes isn't exactly a shrewd strategy.  But you know what is?  Banking on team's to be themselves, until they've completely proven to you that they've changed their stripes. The Chargers have been one of the most talented teams in the league for goin' on a decade now, but that hasn't led to much success.  I say that trend continues this week up at Foxboro.  Nice numbers, but no success...

Oh, and you gotta love Brady telling the fans coming to the game to get nice and drunk.  Or "lubed up", as he so metrosexually put it.  They didn't fine him, nor do I think they should have, but I'll bet dollars to lube jobs that there are more than 100 guys in the league that would be inking a check to the Sheriff as we speak had they uttered the exact same words.  Encouraging fans to get drunk and rowdy?  It only works when you can say it with a million watt smile as you brush your flowing locks from in front of your bedroom eyes...(no homo)

Chicago Bears (+7) @ New Orleans Saints + UNDER 48

As sick as this may sound, I had New Orleans in this spot until Brian Urlacher's mother suddenly passed away earlier this week.  I've seen what superstars do under circumstances like that, and while Urlacher may not be a QB or a RB, or anyone that's ever going to touch the ball, he's as dynamic defender as you'll find, and he'll find a way to make a major impact on this game.  Maybe not enough of one for Chicago to pull out the win, but the team has rallied behind him, right now, and I'll be damned if that defense is gonna allow the Saints to beat them by 7.  Whether it's the New Orleans home opener, or not...

Thoughts and prayers with the Urlacher family, too.  That's gotta be rough, and wish you and yours nothing but the best through these tough times...

Detroit Lions (-7.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs

Seems like a no brainer, after last weeks respective performances, and that's why I'm taking it.  The Lions appear to be good and are at home, the Chiefs appear to be a mess and are on the road.  Bam!  Done and done.  I'm not saying it's impossible for KC to cover or even win in this spot, but I will say this.  The only people who are gonna win money in this game betting on the Chiefs are either A) die hard Chiefs fans, with no respect for money OR B) the gangsters and bookies who helped fix the game...

Baaahahahaha.  Baaaaahahahahaha....

Buffalo Bills (-3) vs Oakland Raiders + OVER 41

If put to the test, I'd say the Raiders were the better team, but that's not what this is.  And coming off a short week, after an emotional game, I tend to think the high flying Bills will have Oakland's number.  It's the Radiers' 2nd straight road game, which also doesn't help coming off a Monday Night, and it's Buffalo's home opener, which after their statement win in Kansas City should mean that place will be rockin' from the opening kickoff.  Just not a good spot for Oakland...

SO, better team?  Yes.  But this is just a bad match up for them this week, paving the way for the Bills to be the darlings of the NFL before they play host in week 3 to...you guessed it...the New England Patriots.  Oh man, with the hype surrounding that game locally in Buffalo,  it's gonna be just like the Super Bowl!  Which sadly for them, means we all know what the outcome is gonna be...

But we'll get to that next week...

Dallas Cowboys (-3) @ San Francisco 49ers

I look for the Cowboys to bounce back from that loss last week to the Jets, and more or less overpower a less talented Niner squad.  I'm not sold on Tony Romo as a Super Bowl caliber QB, but this isn't the playoffs.    Dallas is just the better team, and though, like the Raiders, they're playing their second straight game on the road, I think the talent disparity is enough in this one where the Cowboys will be able to pull it out, and even their record at 1-1...

Good luck trying to stop these guys...

Green Bay Packers (-10) @ Carolina Panthers

The Packers are the best team in football, after week 1, and I'm almost taking them based solely on that impression alone.  10 is a big number to cover, on the road, but given their ability to score at will, and the fact that they've had a few extra days off to rest and study (they were able to watch Carolina play on Sunday), I'll take my chances rather than trying to get cute by taking a team with a still very unproven starting QB.  Newton impressed in week 1, but this match up against the defending Super Bowl champs should really serve as a good litmus tests as to where he really is in terms of his development.  And let's not forget, as impressive as he was in week 1, his team still lost.  And last time I checked, they weren't playing a team nearly as good as Green Bay...

New York Jets (-9.5) vs Jacksonville Jaguars

That's a big number, that 9.5.  Especially considering the team they're playing is 1-0, and the Jets themselves only won by 3 at home just a week ago.  Matter of fact, the safe play would probably be to go with the Jags, and revel when they somehow manage to stay in this thing until finally losing 17-10.  That's where this one is headed.  The Jets are clearly the better team, but between the letdown factor after opening on 9/11 against Dallas, their inability to run the ball (and JAX stopped Chris Johnson) and that big number, it's just a risky bet to take.  Gotta take risks in this game if you want to win, though.  So while most people would consider it risky to take the Jags, I'll take a risk on the Jets, and hope they come out firing...

I expect Vick to get a standing O on his return to the ATL. As opposed to
"two birds up"...

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) vs Philadelphia Eagles

I always leave the Sunday Night pick for last (save MNF), but this week it's where I'd have this pick, anyway.  It's the Michael Vick Bowl, and with emotions running high in the ATL, this one figures to be an entertaining, back and forth battle.  Philly is the more complete team, at this point, but their relatively weak interior should provide just the medicine to an Atlanta team that will be looking to pound the rock after an abysmal and uncharacteristic week 1 offensive performance.  The Falcons are a great home team, too, which is why I jumped at the opportunity to take them as a dog.  No Michael Vick pun intended, yet now assumed...

I just think that this game will probably end up coming down to the last play, with Vick either going Vick on us and pulling off some highlight reel play, or with the Falcons efficiently driving down the field for a game winning score.  Either way, I'm thinkin' it'll be nip and tuck, which is why I ultimately landed on the home underdog with something to prove, rather than the the visiting dog killer with...ah, whatever.  That's not news anymore...

Here are the rest of this week's games.  They didn't make the cut, but if you're still Hell bent on betting on them, like I know you are, then here are my two cents.  And no, I'm not sure why I think the Colts are going to win, so don't ask...

Indianapolis Colts (+3) vs Cleveland Browns

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pittsburgh Steelers (-14.5) vs Seattle Seahawks

Arizona Cardinals (+4) @ Washington Redskins

Cincinnati Bengals (+4.5) @ Denver Broncos

Houston Texans (-3) @ Miami Dolphins



Monday Night
Mensa: TEDowlands Chapter...
New York Giants (-5.5) vs St. Louis Rams

After that week 1 debacle, I'm guessing the last place Tom Coughlin and the Giants would want to find themselves is on Monday Night Football, but here they are.  A team in the spotlight, and under a microscope, that's supposed to be a contender, but can't really seem to find an identity.  That alone should sway me towards the Rams, but what can I say?  I'm a glutton for punishment...

Sam Bradford says he's fine, but of course he'd say that, and with Cadillac Williams replacing Steven Jackson, that's enough for me to give the benefit of the doubt to the "healthier" team at home.  I don't trust the G-Men any further than I can chuck 'em, but they're the lesser of two evils in this one.  That, and you know they're capable of some big things.  If only they'd do those things on a more consistent basis...


Last Week: 11-10-0


I fail to see any losers in this one...
It's what makes regular season college football so great, while at the same time exposing how horrible they're playoff "system" is.  FSU/Oklahoma.  Two of the best teams in the land.  And likely, two of the best teams in the land when the season has run it's course.  Unfortunately, for one of those fine programs, a loss here, and they're immediately put right behind the 8 ball if they wish to have ANY chance of being in the National Championship discussion.  One loss.  That's all you can afford, if you can even afford that!  Yet if there were some kind of playoff...

...yeah, I'm not even gonna waste my time.  It is a travesty, though.  Which is why you need to give props to these two schools for even scheduling this out of conference tilt.  The way the system is set up, this game has such a high risk/reward factor that you can't help but admire the two programs for their gambling and competitive spirit.  At least I can't...

So, I'm rollin with the Noles.  They're my National Championship pick, namely because I think they can win this game and set themselves up in the standings, so I'm not backing down from that now.  Besides, I really can't lose.  If they win, I'm right, and it's awesome.  And if they lose, I get to hear Frosco bitch all year about how another highly ranked Florida State team managed to shoot itself in the foot.  Win-win, pimps.  And there's nothing not to like about those odds...


NCAA Top 25 Picks
(5) Florida St. (+3) vs (1) Oklahoma

(6) Stanford) (-10) @ Arizona

(7) Wisconsin (-31) @ Northern Illionis

MSU's new "Combat" uniforms from Nike.
Sick gloves, but what are your school colors again??
(9) Oklahoma St. (-13.5) @ Tulsa

(10) Nebraska (-16.5) vs Washington

Navy (+18) @ (12) South Carolina

Miami (-2.5) vs (15) Ohio St.

(17) Michigan St. (+5) @ Notre Dame

Tennessee (+10) @ (18) Florida

Maryland (+1.5) vs (19) West Virginia

Clemson (-3.5) vs (21) Auburn

Illinois (+1.5) vs (22) Arizona St.

Temple (+9) vs (23) Penn St.

UCLA (+3.5) vs (24) Texas


Last Week: 8-1-1 (.850)


And that's it for me, friends.  I discuss the Red Sox with ya, but I don't wanna risk depressing myself and becoming one of those people who uses Facebook as their diary for all their painfully personal thoughts.  Oh, and on that note.  Nobody wants to hear about your fantasy football team on Facebook, either.  We all love fantasy football, but your league is only relevant to YOU and the other people in it.  Nobody else cares if you need the Raiders defense to score 14 points.  They just don't.  And if anyone cared, it would be me, and I find it highly annoying.  So trust me when I tell you, that if you continue to use Facebook in this manner, you'll end up being blocked by every user that isn't a Facebook "stalker".  And maybe that's a world you want to live in, but that's definitely not the place for me.  Then again, I've never owned a virtual farm, either...

Have a good one, kids.  And I'll catch you on the flipman...


Teddy Williams...
100...

#$>

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

If the Cowboys are "America's Team", then the Bills have got to be South and Central Amercia's Team. They kept em clothed with incorrect Super bowl T's for most of the 90's!

Brett Ferruccio said...

True. And I'm guessing those shirts were about as fresh as that joke. OH!

Post a Comment