Pages

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Red Sox Update: Making Predictions with Sendai Seneca & Tokyo Tom...

Marty, something's gotta be done about Boston Sports!
Making predictions.  It's got to be one of the most enjoyable things to do when it comes to talking about and analyzing sports.  Believe me, I know.  I make inaccurate predictions all the time and I'm still loving every second of it.  But one thing I don't enjoy, something I can't stand, is when people make needless predictions.  Not "crazy" predictions, like the guy that's going to tell you the Browns are going to win the Super Bowl, but needless predictions, ones that are often made when the predictor himself knows that he's making a prediction based on a small sample size...

Like the article I read on Saturday posing the question, and then answering it affirmatively, as to whether "The decade long run of Boston sports success was over?" Hahaha, really?  I mean, I know it's tough to come up with fresh ideas and articles to publish, but really?  Why?  Why is it suddenly over now?  Because the Red Sox were 2-9?  Because the Canadiens had the Bruins on the ropes?  Because the veteran Celtics had slipped to 3rd in the East?  Because the Patriots are publicly wondering if it's time to draft Tom Brady's replacement?  Come on, now, let's gain a little perspective...



OK, which two don't fit? GO!

First off, the Bruins and Celtics had virtually NOTHING to do with the past decade's success, so whatever struggles they may be experiencing should barely even factor into the equation.  Secondly, the Patriots, the most successful team of the bunch, aren't even playing right now and are coming off yet another relatively successful season with a bevy of draft picks in the upcoming draft.  And the third team, the one that no doubt prompted the particular scribe in question to sit down and pen his "end of the world" piece, is that the Red Sox, and their 2-9 record in what we all know is a long, 162 game season.  So, to recap.  The most successful team of the decade isn't even playing, and the other is less than 10% into their much anticipated season.  Yeah, short sighted and inaccurate are two words that immediately come to mind.  Irrational and blatantly headline grabbing would be a few more...

Now, with the Celtics winning game 1, the Bruins winning game 3, and the Red Sox winners of 3 straight, I virtually guarantee that the author of that particular piece would be singing a different tune.  In fact, if experience is any indicator, he's probably singing right now, as you read this, about how Boston is the "Hub" of all things pro sports, and how the time has never been better to be a fan.  It's just bad journalism, kids, and there's absolutely no need for it (and that's coming from a guy penning out a blog in his basement).  It's making bold statements just for the sake of making them, even when you know you've only seen a small piece of the picture...

Listen to George. He's too damn cool to be wrong...
Not only that, but it's predictions like this where it just doesn't matter if you were right or wrong.  OK, virtually ALL predictions are like that, but grand proclamations like this one, especially.  Mostly because with a statement like this, it's impossible to really even know if you were right or wrong, and in all likelihood, you won't know if you were right or wrong until about a decade after the fact!  A time when, prognosticator or not, EVERYONE will know if and when a certain "reign" came to an end.  I mean, what if the Patriots miss the playoffs next year and the Red Sox win the World Series?  Is the reign over, or what?  See?  It's essentially indefinable, too.  Haha you know?  Like, why even bother?  To quote George Clooney in Michael Clayton, "This is not a piece of information you want to be out in front of".  Which is to say, it's not worth risking it all, just to say you were right or that you "saw this coming".  At best, if you're a fan of the teams in question, you're going to come off looking like a rat.  Someone who seemingly wished these things upon their teams just for the sake of being able to say they were right.  And this coming from a guy that likes being right more than he likes wholesale crate of Reeses' peanut butter cups.  Trust me, I get the point of the argument, but saying "things are bad, and they're going to get worse", especially prematurely, is just something that people aren't ever going to want to hear.  And justifiably so.  It's just a pointless argument to make, which combined with it's negative message, just aren't going to go over well...

Hey, I like crazy predictions as much as the next guy, and I love to analyze the living, breathing creature that is professional sports, but throwing out knee jerk, blanket statements when I know my opinion is destined to change?  Well, that's just not my style.  I prefer to gain a little thing called perspective before I make my bold statements.  That way, when I'm inevitably wrong, I'll at least have looked well thought out and professional in doing so...

Speaking of which, it's time for me to lay some groundwork for a few of those future predictions.  Mostly it's just a Sox Update and the death of online poker, but still, it's groundwork nonetheless...          

Red Sox Update
Just a few observations from the past week:

It's gotta be the beard...

*Jed Lowrie is a certified MAN PIMP.  Not only is he hitting .516 with 2 HR 9 RBI and 8 runs scored, but he's provided a much needed spark to this still somewhat struggling offense.  So much so, that I think it's safe to say, that at least for the time being, he's supplanted everyone's favorite Irish infielder, Marc O'Scutaro, as part of the everyday lineup.  Maybe not for good...yet...but he's too hot, and his bat means too much to the team right now for him to sit.  Also good to see someone unexpected playing well when there are still plenty of big time players (cough::Carl Crawford::cough) that have yet to really get things going.  Thank Jed, Carl.  He's got people distracted right now from your slow start, and has seemingly bought you some more time to get in good with the Fenway faithful...

*After Beckett and Lester proved they truly are in top form by tossing consecutive gems, I've decided Clay Buchholz's next start is going to serve as my early season litmus test.  IF he can hurl a gem his next time out (Wednesday @ Oakland), I'll really have faith that this team has really hit it's stride.  With 3 front line starters, and an offense that's bound to produce, that'll give the Sox the weapons they need to reel off 5-10 in a row or say 20 out of 25.  Otherwise, should Clay continue to struggle (0-2 6.60 ERA), it could continue to be an uphill climb...

Some gestures have the same meaning in ANY language...

*Daisuke Matsuzaka is the Seneca Wallace of baseball.  OK, he's really just like your typical great college option QB that really has no business being in the pros, but I figured Seneca Wallace was just a funny name to use.  It's not that far fetched, either.  Think about it.  He's got a quirky game that dominated in a lesser league, right?  Just like the option QB.  And he goes through phases of looking great, but then most of the time it looks as though his opponents have him over matched.  Just like the option QB.  Sure, 1 or 2 Wildcat plays per game work, but try it too often, and you get snuffed out.  But that's Dice K.  He's an option QB in a world built for pocket passers.  They trot him out there every 5th day, and for the most part, if the rest of the team doesn't perform well around him (ie score runs), they're gonna lose.  Every once in a while he gets a match up he can exploit (now career 8-1 vs TOR), but for the most part he'll be very ordinary, and often over matched...
Hey there Seneca Wallace!

What I'm saying is, don't expect the unexpected, which is now the current buzz phrase when it comes to Dice K, just expect inconsistency.  He's shown he can achieve, sure, but usually only when the deck is stacked in his favor (a good match up) or when he's being backed by arguably the game's best offense.  Basically, he's not what we expected we we signed him, and the sooner we accept that he's at best just another 4th or 5th starter, then his performances should at least become more palpable...

It's disappointing, to be sure.  We, as Sox fans, thought we were getting Tokyo Tom Brady to add to our rotation, but instead all we got was Sendai Seneca Wallace.  A one trick pony whose trick is getting old.  It's a hard and unsettling realization to come to, especially in the wake of his best performance of the season, but it's one I've resigned myself too if for no other reason than to preserve my sanity and temper my still lofty expectations.  Face it, the guy isn't who we thought he was.  And while I'm not willing to "let him off the hook", I am willing to accept him for what he is, and base my predictions and opinions on that going forward...

...still, it's nice to see that one trick now and again.  Even if it does mean we need to watch that toad looking man shake his Fupa before every pitch...

...OH and you best believe I had to look up a Japanese city starting with "S" to fill out my little word play scenario there.  Sendai, it's got a million people in.  Couldn't find it on a map, but Google says it exists, and that's good enough for me.  Sendai Seneca.  Has a nice ring to it, don't you think?  Not quite fantasy team name worthy, but maybe race horse worthy.  Either way, it's a close call...          

The end of an era?
Online Poker Confirmed Busto?

Those that know me know my fondness for online poker.  So imagine my surprise when I went to sign on this week only to be greeted by a message telling me my state will no longer allow me to play.  After a quick search of the world wide web, I found this, and many articles like it, informing me that all the major sites had been taken down by the FBI for fraud.  No, they weren't cheating the players, they were cheating the IRS and the US Government by "laundering" player's money in and out of the country.  A practice, mind you, that's been going on for years, and had become widely accepted as public knowledge by the millions in the know.  Hence how you could sign on and play from virtually every state in this country.  And it was EVERY state in the country up until only a few months ago...

So, what now?  Well, hopefully this will pave the way for the legalization and governmental regulation of online poker sooner rather than later, but I won't be holding my breath.  Lord knows the economy could use the boost, but that only leads me to believe it will take all that much longer to become reality.  Ya know?  It just makes too much sense for the government to immediately enact it.  That's just how governments work.  I'll just be hoping that whatever is eventually decided, that PokerStars will still give me that $70 they have of mine that I earned without making even one single financial transaction.  Impressive, right?  Yeah, and I'm sure, knowing my luck, that'll somehow inexplicably land me some sort of fine about 10 times that amount...

It will be interesting to see how all this unfolds, though, between what they do with the seized money and how they decide to move forward.  SO I'll make sure to keep you informed...


Other than that, that's all I got for ya this week, friends.  I could touch on how the refs ripped a win from my Knicks and handed it to Ray Allen and the Celts, but you don't wanna hear it as much as I don't wanna write it, so I figure we'll just leave it at that...

Make sure to check back in next week, though, for the possible unveiling of something big that could very well launch your man and his site right on into the next level.  Trust me, you won't wanna miss it.  And matter of fact, based on the response I've been getting from those involved, you're probably even gonna want in on it.  So yeah, stay tuned for that...

But until then, friends, this is your man Sendai Seneca, signing off.  Have a great week, kids, and I'll catch you on the flipman...


Teddy Williams...
100...

#$>

0 comments:

Post a Comment